A System Dynamics Model for Risk Analysis during Project Construction Process

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

system dynamics approach for construction risk analysis

presence of risks and uncertainties inherent in project development and implementation playssignificant role in poor project performance. thus, there is a considerable need to have an effective riskanalysis approach in order to assess the impact of different risks on the project objectives. a powerful riskanalysis approach may consider dynamic nature of risks throughout the life cycle of the pr...

متن کامل

A MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR SELECTING THE PROJECT RISK RESPONSES IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

Risks are natural and inherent characteristics of major projects. Risks are usually considered independently in analysis of risk responses. However, most risks are dependent on each other and independent risks are rare in the real world. This paper proposes a model for proper risk response selection from the responses portfolio with the purpose of optimization of defined criteria for projects. ...

متن کامل

A Systems Dynamics Model for Project Management systems of Project-Based Organization

It is obvious that the success of a project-based organization is dependent on its projects. A variety of tools such as the project excellence model, project management maturity models, the earned value method, have been developed in this regard, but there are still delays in projects because the projects have dynamic nature with non-linear relationships and feedback processes during the projec...

متن کامل

combination of monte carlo simulation and system dynamics modeling for project time risk analysis

monte carlo simulation is a standard technique for project risk analysis. however, some assumptions of this technique are not reasonable in real world. when a project falls behind the schedule, managers take actions to improve the performance. nevertheless, most of the simulation models as monte carlo omit these reactions in their analysis, which results in unreasonable wide distributions or ev...

متن کامل

System Dynamics Aproach For Quantitative Risk Allocaion

Allocation of construction risks between clients and their contractors has a significant impact on the total construction costs. This paper presents a system dynamics (SD)-based approach for quantitative risk allocation. Using the proposed SD based approach, all the factors affecting the risk allocation process are modeled. The contractor’s defensive strategies against the one-sided risk alloca...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Open Journal of Social Sciences

سال: 2014

ISSN: 2327-5952,2327-5960

DOI: 10.4236/jss.2014.26052